Acordo de parceria Mercosul-UE: impactos econômicos sobre o agronegócio nos países do Mercosul

Abstract

The objective of the study is to analyze the opportunities that MERCOSUR's trade agreement with the EU would generate for both blocs, with an emphasis on agribusiness in the countries of the South American bloc. The computable general equilibrium model was used, using the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) database, version 11, to simulate the impacts on production and trade and the effects on well-being. The results show that there would be a global gain in well-being for the countries participating in the agreement, with emphasis on Brazil and the EU, which would have more significant gains. As for trade, there would be expansion for Brazil in the primary and low-technology sectors, where agribusiness products are included.